13 DAYS TO GO AND OBAMA LEAD IS GROWING

+ The Pew Poll has Obama up by 14 points. This poll reveals that Obama and Biden favorability is growing while McCain and Palin favorability is shrinking. Palin's unfavorability now exceeds her favorability.

+ Zogby is doing a daily tracking poll which shows Obama leading by 10 points. He is saying we may be on the verge of a major political realignment. Excerpt: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

+ Obama leads the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll by 11 points. Look at the trend!

+ The polls tracked by the Polling Report Presidential Trial Heat summary have Obama leading by an average of 8 points. Every poll they track has shown an Obama lead since September 22 (1 month). How many polls is that? 42!

+ LATE UPDATE: The Obama lead in the The Ipsos/McClatchy Poll has grown to 8 points. Excerpt: "On taxes, for example, likely voters now prefer Obama over McCain by a margin of 8 percentage points. This is despite a concerted effort by McCain and running mate Sarah Palin to cast Obama as a tax-and-spend liberal who'd raise taxes on ordinary folks such as Joe the Plumber, an Ohio man whom McCain cited repeatedly in the last debate and since then in ads and on the campaign trail. On family values, a subject Republicans have used to court Christian conservatives and suburban moderates since the 1980s, likely voters now prefer Obama over McCain by 8 points. That's up from 3 points in mid-September."